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MORE OIL, MORE RISK: UAE LEAVES OPEC AS HORMUZ TENSIONS REMAIN
By Laszlo Enyedi • April 29, 2026

The United Arab Emirates is set to leave OPEC on May 1, stepping away from coordinated oil production. In theory, this gives it freedom to increase output—potentially lowering global prices. But with tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, the market may be driven less by supply and more by fear.

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ROMANIA ENTERS A PHASE OF POLITICAL INSTABILITY
By Laszlo Enyedi • April 27, 2026

Romania’s political instability is significant for the broader European ecosystem. At a time of major geopolitical developments around the world, such instability has the potential to alter a country’s overall direction.

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WHY DID THE WOULD-BE ASSASIN FIRE?
By Laszlo Enyedi • April 26, 2026

A key question in such cases is whether the suspect acted alone or as part of a wider network—an uncertainty that can significantly change the scale and implications of the threat.

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OIL, WAR, AND THE NEXT DOMINO
By Laszlo Enyedi • April 21, 2026

The world economy remains fixed on one central issue: the confrontation between the United States and Iran. What happens there is central to the world.

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STAGNATION IN WORLD POLITICS
By Laszlo Enyedi • April 21, 2026

Over the past seven days, the global political landscape has shown signs of stagnation. The United States remains locked in its ongoing confrontation with Iran, while the war in Ukraine has seen no significant shift. At the same time, energy security continues to linger as an unresolved and pressing concern.

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CAN THE U.S. BLOCKADE OF HORMUZ BRING RESULTS?
By Laszlo Enyedi • April 13, 2026

The central question, therefore, is whether economic pressure alone can compel a strategic shift—or whether it risks prolonging the conflict instead.

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U.S. TO BLOCKADE IRANIAN PORTS
By Laszlo Enyedi • April 13, 2026

According to a statement posted on X by United States Central Command, U.S. forces will begin enforcing a blockade on all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports starting April 13 at 10 a.m. ET

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TISZA’S LANDSLIDE VICTORY REPOSITIONS HUNGARY
By Laszlo Enyedi • April 13, 2026

The Hungarian parliamentary elections took place on 12 April 2026. The TISZA party won a decisive victory, securing enough seats to amend the constitution. The outgoing party, Fidesz, had taken a more confrontational stance toward the European establishment, often blocking common decisions. The new TISZA leadership is expected to align more closely with European Union objectives.

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HORMUZ REOPENS — CAUTIOUSLY
By Laszlo Enyedi • April 3, 2026

A container ship operated by a French company, CMA CGM has successfully passed through the Strait of Hormuz, marking the first known transit by a Western shipping line since the outbreak of the Iran conflict. Three tankers connected to Oman also passed through the strait, according to the Financial Times, avoiding the northern route near Iran. One of them was a liquefied natural gas tanker partly owned by Mitsui OSK Lines (Source: The Guardian)

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GENERAL BREUER: GERMANY MUST ACHIEVE FULL WAR READINESS BY 2029
By Laszlo Enyedi • March 29, 2026

Germany’s Chief of Defence, Carsten Breuer, has warned that the country must be fully prepared for war by 2029, when Russia could have the capability to threaten NATO territory. This is not a prediction of conflict, but a call for credible deterrence to prevent one. The warning reflects a broader shift, as Germany accelerates rearmament and Europe enters a period of heightened security and economic trade-offs.

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Yemen Enters the War — The Middle East Conflict Widens
By Laszlo Enyedi • March 28, 2026

The Houthi movement has launched its first missile toward Israel — marking a decisive widening of the conflict. This development brings the war to a second global chokepoint (Bab el-Mandeb Strait). Yemen sits at the entrance of the Red Sea, a vital link between the Arabian Sea and the Suez Canal - aproximately 30% of the world's shipping container volume transits through the canal).

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CAN A DEAL BE MADE WITH IRAN?
By Laszlo Enyedi • March 23, 2026

Can diplomatic talks produce a verifiable de-escalation, or is this merely a tactical pause? Will Iran commit to reopening the Strait of Hormuz in a way markets can trust? Are both sides negotiating from strength—or signaling weakness under economic pressure?

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CRUDE OIL: THE BLOOD OF THE WORLD ECONOMY
By Laszlo Enyedi • March 23, 2026

Crude oil fell sharply (around -8%) after President Trump paused planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, signaling possible de-escalation. Markets reacted to reduced immediate risk around the Strait of Hormuz—a critical artery for global supply.

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TIME IS CRUCIAL FOR PRESIDENT TRUMP
By Laszlo Enyedi • March 22, 2026

Today marks the 24th day of the U.S.–Iran war. In the American political system, time is not a neutral factor. The longer a conflict drags on, the more its economic consequences begin to weigh on voters at home.

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